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  • Judgmental Forecasting in Determining Policyholder Behavior Assumptions
    (EEV), International Financial Reporting Standards (IFRS), or some other project, the dynamic lapse assumption ... How does it impact your earnings on an EEV or IFRS basis? How does it impact your reserves on a statutory ...

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    • Authors: L Doug King
    • Date: Jul 2011
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • The Actuarial Profession and Complex Models: Knowing the Limits of Our Knowledge
    population sizes. For example, the stylized chart on page 17 highlights the distribution of medical loss ratios ... outcomes, less JuLY 2012 FORECASTING & FUTURISM | 17 0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 70 .0% ...

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    • Authors: Kurt Wrobel
    • Date: Jul 2012
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Introduction to Forecasting Methods for Actuaries
    relationships. Generally not used Widely used [17, 18] [19] CONTINUED ON PAGE 8 8 | FORECASTING ... http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Artificial_neural_network 17 Armstrong, J. S. (2001). Principles of Forecasting: ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Hidden Markov Models and You
    Hidden Markov Models and You An introduction to Hidden Markov Models, which are used extensively in speech ... JULY 2013 FORECASTING & FUTURISM | 17 Hidden Markov Models and You By Doug Norris & Brian ...

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    • Authors: Brian Grossmiller
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving>Process and technique refinement
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Markov Chain
  • Why Consider a Delphi Study?
    Predictive Analytics and Futurism April 2018 Issue 17 14 | APRIL 2018 PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS AND FUTURISM ... APRIL 2018 PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS AND FUTURISM | 17 Figures 5 and 6 give an idea of what this process ...

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    • Authors: Ben Wolzenski
    • Date: Apr 2018
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>General business skills
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Five Myths and Facts about Artificial Intelligence
    Computerization? by Frey, and Osborne, September 17, 2013. 3 AI in Insurance: Hype or Reality. Top ... DECEMBER 2016 PREDICTIVE ANALYTICS AND FUTURISM | 17 PredictiveAnalyticsand FuturismISSUE 14 • DECEMBER ...

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    • Authors: Anand Rao
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Should Actuaries Get Another Job?
    learn about potential behaviors of complex systems.17 3. MiTiGATe foreCAST errorS AND Their iMpACT Taleb’s ... Tools (2nd ed.). Berlin; New York: Springer. 17 Miller, J. H., & Page, S. E. (2007). Complex Adaptive ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Sep 2009
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Actuarial Profession; Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • Best Methods and Practices in Judgmental Forecasting
    forecasts made by experts with unaided judgment.17 BEST PRACTICES In addition to using methods that ... (2001), Chapter 5: Conjoint analysis, pages 145-167. 17 Armstrong (2001), Chapter 6: Judgmental bootstrap- ...

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    • Authors: Alan Mills
    • Date: Jul 2010
    • Competency: Technical Skills & Analytical Problem Solving
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • July 2013 issue of Forecasting & Futurism
    Jeff Heaton 12 Predictive Modeling By Richard Xu 17 Hidden Markov Models and You By Doug Norris & ... 2030: Alternative Worlds.” The NIC is a coalition of 17 agencies and organizations within the Executive ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Jul 2013
    • Competency: External Forces & Industry Knowledge>Actuarial methods in business operations
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
  • December 2016 edition of Predictive Analytics & Futurism
    program, is effective or not. With health care at 17 percent of the GDP, well-controlled, reliable statistical ... Computerization? by Frey, and Osborne, September 17, 2013. 3 AI in Insurance: Hype or Reality. Top ...

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    • Authors: Society of Actuaries
    • Date: Dec 2016
    • Publication Name: Predictive Analytics and Futurism Newsletter
    • Topics: Modeling & Statistical Methods>Forecasting
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